New tool

Challenge Calculator

Tell us about your trading and we'll rank every prop firm by how likely you are to pass their challenge — and how many trades it'll take.

Modelled on each firm's real profit target and drawdown rules
·
48 firms scored live
Estimate, not a promise. Pass probability is a mathematical model based on your inputs. Real trading involves emotion, slippage, news, and consistency rules the model doesn't capture. Trading involves substantial risk of loss — most retail traders lose money. Read the full disclaimer.

Your matches

30 firms scored
100%
Audacity Capital logo

Audacity Capital

very likely

Ability Challenge - 2-Step · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
100%
Trades to pass
~41
Profit split
75% to 90%
Per-phase odds:P1: 100%P2: 100%
99%
Finotive Funding logo

Finotive Funding

very likely

Finotive Pro (two stages)(fixed salary + refundable fee)

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~20
Profit split
80%
99%
Hola Prime logo

Hola Prime

very likely

2‑Step Challenge — Pro

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~22
Profit split
Up to 95%
99%
FTMO logo

FTMO

very likely

1-Step FTMO Challenge (prices in EUR, non-refundable)

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~27
Profit split
80-90%
99%
FundingTraders logo

FundingTraders

very likely

2‑Step Pro10 (10% / 5% profit targets, 5% daily / 10% max loss, 80–100% split)

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~27
Profit split
80%-100%
99%
Falcon Funded logo

Falcon Funded

very likely

2 Step (regular) · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~36
Profit split
up to 90%
Per-phase odds:P1: 100%P2: 100%
99%
FXIFY logo

FXIFY

very likely

2-Phase (classic-static) · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~28
Profit split
up to 100%
Per-phase odds:P1: 99%P2: 99%
99%
BrightFunded logo

BrightFunded

very likely

2-Step Bright (prices in EUR) · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~36
Profit split
80% to 100%
Per-phase odds:P1: 99%P2: 99%
99%
Funded Trader Markets logo

Funded Trader Markets

very likely

2 Step Plus · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~36
Profit split
Up to 100%
Per-phase odds:P1: 99%P2: 99%
99%
FundedNext logo

FundedNext

very likely

FOREX Stellar 2 step · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~36
Profit split
Up to 95%
Per-phase odds:P1: 99%P2: 99%
99%
FundingPips logo

FundingPips

very likely

2 Step (FundingPips) · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~36
Profit split
60% to 100%
Per-phase odds:P1: 99%P2: 99%
99%
City Traders Imperium logo

City Traders Imperium

very likely

2-Step Challenge · 2-stage challenge

Pass odds
99%
Trades to pass
~41
Profit split
80% - 100%
Per-phase odds:P1: 99%P2: 99%
How is this calculated?

Each trade is modelled as a random outcome — you win R× your risk with probability equal to your win rate, and lose 1× your risk otherwise. Over many trades, your equity curve drifts by your edge per trade.

For each firm, we use a diffusion approximation of this random walk to compute the probability of hitting the profit target before the drawdown rule kicks in. For multi-stage challenges (1-step, 2-step, 3-step) the phases are chained — you have to pass each one. We pick the firm's easiest challenge for you.

Expected trades is a linear estimate: profit target ÷ edge per trade. We don't convert that into days because trade frequency varies enormously — a scalper takes 20 trades in a session, a swing trader takes one a week.

This is a model, not a guarantee. Real trading involves emotion, slippage, news events, and consistency rules that this calculator doesn't capture. Use it as a starting point for which firms match your edge — not as a promise of any particular outcome.