US-Iran ceasefire framework sends oil down, stocks rally—but experts question durability

Oil prices dropped and equities surged on MoU framework to end US-Iran war, but analysts warn optimism may be premature. Practical issues remain: vessel backlog, mine clearing, and 14M barrel/day shortfall from Hormuz closure. Traders should watch for volatility if implementation stalls—ceasefire risk premium may deflate too quickly in crude and indices.